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BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 137 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we’ve got a 14-fight card in Brazil. DraftKings has some decent contests available for this Fight Night card, and this can be rare for these free ones. The main tourney is the $8 entrance and pays $20k to 1st. That is the main GPP I’ll be chasing this week. As always, I will be in the 3-entry max and single entry GPPs too. But this week DraftKings has two competitions for trips out to Vegas to see that the McGregor vs Khabib battle. Hotel, flight, and struggles all paid for. The floor chairs competition is a $33 entrance along with the non-floor seats contest is only a $15 entrance. I will need to take a few shots at that too. Also, DraftKings just released a contest for UFC 299 that’s a $10 entry with a gigantic $100,000 to 1st place. That’s by far the biggest prize we’ve seen in DFS MMA, so let’s build a bankroll this weekend so we can shoot some extra shots at that $100k. With that said, here are a Couple of plays I like this week in Addition to my fade of this week:
Money Game play of the week — Livia Renata Souza ($9,600)
Livia Souza is your safest win on the card and that I believe she gets this battle finished early. This is where I am starting my cash LUs this week. Just give me the -1100 favored who is being fed up an easy win , for my cash games. I do like a great deal of the top favorites on this particular card, I just are the most shocked if Souza lost. I think she’s fine in both formats, but she will most likely be chalky in GPPs, so cash games would be the best place to get your Souza investment this week. Simply take this win, and then find 3 others and you should be useful in cash games.
GPP play of this week — Charles Oliveira ($9,400)
I am a large Charles”Do Bronx” Oliveira fan, and he has some of my own favorites submissions in UFC history. I think we could see another awesome one here. This battle seems simple to call. Do Bronx will look for the early takedown and when he can get it then he probably receives a 1st round sub. If that happens he should lock up a solid 100 points and I am pretty certain in being the outcome of this fight, so that’s why he’s my GPP drama of this week. He is also my GPP play of this week, and not my Cash play of the week for a reason. If he can not get the takedown(s) early, then he’ll probably stop and get completed himself with strikes. I don’t like that risk of a low floor because of my cash LU, therefore I favor Souza there. But in GPPs I enjoy saving the $200 and moving down to Do Bronx.
Underdog drama of the week — Eryk Anders ($7,600)
I’d like Anders more if he was not taking this fight on short notice, and when it was not in Brazil. However he does have a very clear route to success here and that is by knocking outside Santos who does not possess a great chin. Anders could also go for takedowns in this fight and he can win with a few tough GNP as well. At $7.6k he will almost surely end up on the winning LU when he is able to acquire the KO. This is the main event, so he’ll have 5 rounds to work with. I do think this is a solid matchup for Anders, but he must be aggressive and never hang out to the exterior. When he hangs out on the outside as long Santos will consume up him with kisses and it could be a short night for Anders. I am going to pick him to get the win as an underdog in Brazil and I think he has it done in the first two rounds with a KO. This will easily pay off his $7.6k salary and it will win you a GPP if you’re able to get your additional five spots correct as well.
Fade of this week — Sam Alvey ($9,200)
Sam Alvey is obviously a fade for me. I wrote him up as my fade of this week on here, I was very wrong and he scored over 100 points. Then so be it if this happens again . But I refuse to rely on an early KO win to cover off a $9.2k salary from a man who doesn’t throw several strikes. At $9.2k I need at least 92 points out of Alvey when I roll up him and the only real way get caught that’s using a 1st round KO win. That could happen here against a 42-year-old Lil Nog, but I am not willing to invest my money in it.
If you would like my full-card DraftKings breakdown with analysis on each struggle, my private strategies & recommendations, and my pick outlook for every single fight then it is possible to find that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can go to this link below:

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