NASCAR AT ATLANTA ODDS, PICKS 2019: MODEL SAYS CHASE ELLIOTT SURPRISES AT FOLDS OF HONOR QUIKTRIP 500

The 2019 NASCAR schedule kicks into high gear Sunday with the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

The green flag drops at two p.m. ET for your 325-lap race along with defending champion Kevin Harvick is the 4-1 favorite from the most current 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 odds. Falling in just behind him with 6-1 NASCAR at Atlanta odds are Joey Logano and Kyle Busch, who both finished in the top four final week at the Daytona 500. Prior to making your 2019 QuikTrip 500 selections and NASCAR at Atlanta predictions, be sure to have a look at the projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track history and current results into consideration.

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It made some huge calls in NASCAR last year, including nailing wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. And it is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top contender from the beginning. Anybody who has followed its selections is way, way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic venues like Atlanta Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. His model mimicked the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 a total of 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For your 2019 QuikTrip 500 in Atlanta, we could tell you that the version is high on Chase Elliott, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite heading off at 10-1 odds. Elliott does not have a long history at Atlanta, but he’s had success there in all three of his starts in the track since linking the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series. He has finished within the top 10 in every one of those races and even got a top-five finish in 2017.

Before joining NASCAR’s top circuit, Elliott had two top-five endings at Atlanta at the NASCAR Xfinity Series. Elliott is a Georgia native and his dad, Bill Elliott, won at NASCAR’s highest level in Atlanta Motor Speedway five times in his career, so it’s something of a home track for the 23-year-old. The version expects him to ride that advantage towards the top of the leaderboard on Sunday.

Another shocker from the model: Kyle Busch, among the top Vegas favorites at 6-1, doesn’t even crack the top five.

The 2019 Daytona 500 runner-up started on the pole in this race a year ago, but ended up finishing in seventh place. The year before, he had another fast ride in qualifying and began the race in third, but ended up in 16th.

Considering his win at Atlanta in 2013, Busch has just run 56.7 percent of his laps within the top 15. For his career, he’s finished outside the top 10 in 13 of his 20 career starts at Atlanta Motor Speedway. There are far better worth within this loaded 2019 QuikTrip 500 lineup than the 6-1 premium you will need to cover him.

The version is also targeting three other drivers with 2019 NASCAR in Atlanta chances of 10-1 or more time to make a serious run at winning everything. Anyone who backs these lengthy shots can hit it big.

Read more: wingedwheelblog.com

September 1, 2019